Monday, October 10, 2011

Yay Socialism...Yay Beer




So the first European bank falls prey to the debt crisis. We're down 400 right? Wrong, face-melting rally actually. Dexia sold itself to the Belgium government for $4B (something you would have known hours before it actually happened if you follow me @freemrktcptlst) and instantly futures responded positively. Add to that the "promise" (ha!) by Merkozy that the whole thing we'll be handled in 3 weeks and it's off to the races, right? Well, yes this is very good news, but the algo's are still showing me we're much closer to OB (overbought) than OS (oversold) so I'd be using these rallies for taking profits and quick trades. I'm in about 48% cash and will be using today and tomorrow to lessen my exposure to ARM Holding (ARMH), Netflix (NFLX), and yes, even Apple (AAPL) because I see a 5%-7% correction in our not so distant future. I just want to raise cash so I can position myself well for the next leg up. Let's talk about Apple (AAPL) and Netflix (NFLX) for a second. Both are rallying today for different reasons. Apple (AAPL) reported that they shattered previous presale records with their new handset the iPhone 4S, selling over 1M in the first 24 hours of availability. Netflix (NFLX) (a FMC takeover target) is up over 6% on word the board has decided against spinning the DVD-by-mail business off into 'Qwikster', which has investors hopping. I bought Netflix (NFLX) around $110 and it's hovering around $126 today so I have to take profits, but I reiterate this stock is cheap and primed to be bought by, oh let's say Amazon (AMZN).


This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. DAK was long AAPL, NFLX and ARMH at time of publication but positions can change at anytime.

No comments:

Post a Comment